台灣經濟論衡-秋季號 - page 33

特別
名家
政策
臺灣
經濟
經建
國發
gamma
e
log-normal
e
log-logistic
ഃʱৣf
2
˸ɪɗࢁༀழ᜗П
ࣛගπᚃ
ה
મٙ͜΢ᗳ˜࿁ᅰᇞ׌Ϟ͎ᅰП
ᅼۨ™ʘ͟Ըd̥݊வԬழ᜗Դ͜˓
̅ձ
ඎ຾᏶ኪ઺߅ࣣ੽ʔᙃʿவԬሞ
f
͉˖ਗ਼Աృ˖ᘠٙਂ
ج
d஽Б࿁ό
(5)
ආБП
dᔟ˸ᐏ՟ό
(1)
(2)
ʕᅂ
ձ
ʘ༆ᙑᜊᅰٙ
ڷ
ᅰП
࠽ࠇ
f
މ
ϤdҢ
࣬ኽϪᔮ
(2016)
ᗇ੻j߰˲ਬ߰ό
(5)
ʕʘ
ՈϞ˜ୋɓۨ฽௰ʃ
ʱৣ™
(extreme-
value type-I (min.) distribution)
d͵уjяЗໄਞᅰ
މ
0
e஝ᅼਞᅰ
މ
1
ٙ˜ᅺ๟
Gumbel
௰ʃ
ʱৣ™
(standard Gumbel (min.) distribution)
ٙЗໄ
ၾ஝ᅼਞᅰʱй
މ
ձ
d
ۆ
ՈϞ
Weibull
ʱৣ
(Corelli, 2012; Poon et al.,
2003 and 2004)
f
ה
˸d߰
ՈϞ
Weibull
ʱৣd
ۆ
Ң
̙৿ணό
(5)
ʕʘ
Ո
Ϟୋɓۨ௰ʃ฽
ʱৣdԨ஽͟༈ᔷ౬όٙП
dϾᐏ੻ό
(1)
(2)
ʕᅂᚤ
ٙ
π
ݺ
ଟձ୞˟ࠬᎈଟٙ΢ᜊᅰʘ
ڷ
ᅰП
࠽ࠇ
f
͉˖મٙ͜˜ɛɢ༟๕࿬༶͜ሜ
ݟ
™༟ࣘᜑͪdତᔖʈЪಂග
ܓڗ
ٙϣᅰʱৣ
͵яவ၇˜̸҈༰٭e̛҈༰ᆰ™ٙ௰ʃ฽
ʱৣdуjίϣᅰʱৣࢭᅺྡɪd̸
၌ಂග༰೵٫ٙɛᅰჃˢ̛၌༰
٫ڗ
ٙɛᅰ଺εfΪϾd৿ண
ՈϞவ၇฽
ʱ
ৣd͉ሯɪୌΥ͉˖ྼᗇ༟ࣘٙत׌f፲ኴٙ݊d΢ழ᜗˓̅ձ
ඎሙ͉dѩ͊ሞ
ʿ༈฽
ϣᅰʱৣɗᑌഐᔷ౬ό
(5)
Weibull
π
ݺ
ʱৣٙᗫᒟf
ձ
˾ɝό
(5)
dԨ˸
i
ڌ
ᝈ࿀
ٙᗆйᇁ
(identifier)
d
ۆ
຅ᅵ͉ᅰ
މ
N
ࣛd༈ό̙ᄳϓj
Չʕd
(5')
2
Ϊ
Weibull
ᅼۨٙ
ڷ
ᅰП
࠽ࠇ
ʘ͍
ୌ໮ձᜑഹ׌ѩၾவԬʱৣ޴Νd݂ୋໍືྼᗇʱؓਗ਼̥ΐ̈
Weibull
ۨٙП
؈
f
3
ʘ
ۃ
ணϞ
໮ٙࡡΪdɗ
މ
T
ٙ୞˟ԫ΁Ց༺ʘ஺ଟd݂
ٙ
ฏ৷d
ۆ
ٙ
ฏЭf
31
Taiwan Economic Forum
Volume 14, Number 3
1...,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32 34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,...180
Powered by FlippingBook